An historic visit to the US by Vietnam's Prime Minister
Phan Van Khai is a measure of how far relations have improved
since the Vietnam War, the BBC's Vietnamese service reports.
When Phan Van Khai shakes hands with George W Bush in
Washington on Tuesday, it will be seen in his home country as a
huge boost to Vietnam's social and economic status.
Public opinion in Vietnam is overwhelmingly positive about
the visit, the first by a Vietnamese leader since the end of the
Vietnam War 30 years ago.
State-run media has been reporting on how important it is for
Vietnam to tap into the US market, and the mood of optimism is
clear from e-mails pouring in the BBC Vietnamese service,
talking of a "new era" for Vietnam.
"I trust that the visit will help improve relationships with
the United States in order to bring in more foreign investment
and lessen China's influence in the region,' said contributor An
Bang.
Dissident voices
But the visit is not without risks.
I hope that President Bush will put pressure on
Prime Minister Khai to allow freedom of opinion
BBC contributor
Critics of the ruling Communist Party are hard to find inside
Vietnam at any time.
But according to Professor Carl Thayer at Johns Hopkins
University, "there are dissident voices within the Party who
fear that this is moving too close to a country that ... is
pressuring Vietnam to evolve in a line that is more towards
democracy and away from socialism".
There are also concerns, among those calling for improved
human rights and greater political freedom in Vietnam, that the
visit and its focus on economic ties will mean their voices are
no longer heard.
However, Professor Nguyen Manh Hung of George Mason
University said people involved in rights work in Vietnam would
welcome the visit as a chance to push for their agendas.
Readers of the BBC's Vietnamese service took a similar view.
"I hope that President Bush will put pressure on Prime
Minister Khai to allow freedom of opinion and to have humane
treatment to democracy advocates in Vietnam, as this is the only
key to take the country forward and not lagging behind
neighbouring countries," one contributor said.
The issue of political and religious freedom is regularly
raised by the US with the Vietnamese government, and in 2004 the
country was included on the US's list of Countries of Particular
Concern.
But it is less likely to feature heavily in these talks, as
in April the US acknowledged progress in some areas, including
the release of several high-profile religious dissidents.
These releases were approved precisely so that the visit
could take place, Professor Thayer said.
Nonetheless, observers will be studying President Bush's
speeches closely for references to human rights and democracy,
as well as studying Mr Khai's reactions to what is said.
Protesters
Protests against the Vietnamese government are expected, but
will probably do little to disrupt the visit itself.
Professor Nguyen said such protests "lend support to those in
the American leadership, especially in the Bush administration,
who insist that human rights and democratisation in Vietnam
remain important issues on the agenda of US-Vietnam talks".
One place where criticism is likely to be fierce is
California, specifically Little Saigon, home of the overseas
Vietnamese community, where the majority of people are strongly
anti-communist.
Many of them are former 'boat people' who risked their lives
fleeing Vietnam in the late 1970s or suffered heavily under
communist rule, and they are unlikely to see Mr Khai's visit as
cause for celebration.
Feelings are especially aroused after last week's news that
the Malaysian government had agreed to a request from Vietnam to
dismantle a recently-built memorial to the thousands of refugees
who died fleeing Vietnam.
It is unlikely that the official entourage will come to this
part of the US.
City officials are keen to avoid a repeat of events last year
when a visit by Vietnamese dignitaries was cancelled because
authorities said they could not guarantee their safety. And in
1999, thousands of protestors took to the streets after a
merchant displayed a picture of the late Communist leader Ho Chi
Minh in his store.
But protestors are nevertheless determined their voices are
heard.
Many are expected to travel to other cities where Mr Khai is
visiting. E-mail campaigns have been spreading news of
demonstrations and adverts called for donations towards a
$70,000 full-page open letter in the Washington Post.
Whatever the lasting effects for Vietnam's global business,
Mr Khai's visit signals the start of a new era of international
relations for the country. If it goes well, President Bush will
make the return trip to Hanoi next year.
There can be little doubt that the image of George W Bush and
Phan Van Khai standing side by side in the Rose Garden will be
an enormous morale boost for the people of Vietnam.